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The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will release its highly anticipated interest rate decision this week, with the market generally expecting no rate cuts at this meeting. The decision is scheduled to be announced at 2 AM Beijing time on Thursday, followed by a press conference held by Fed Chairman Powell to interpret the policy direction.
Although no significant policy adjustments are expected, there are still many focal points worth following in this meeting. Among them, Waller and Bowman, members of the FOMC, may vote against maintaining the current federal funds interest rate range of 4.25%-4.5%, which reflects potential internal disagreements within the committee regarding the policy direction.
In addition, this meeting is the first policy meeting following Trump's recent visit to the Fed construction site, which sparked a cost controversy, adding complexity to the decision-making environment. Trump's calls for large-scale easing policies have also put additional pressure on the Fed's independent decision-making.
Analysts generally believe that the timing of the Fed's policy shift may have to wait until this fall. However, changes in current economic data and external pressures may affect this expectation. Market participants are closely watching the meeting results and their subsequent impact to seize opportunities in the next round of market trends.
As the global economic situation continues to change, the policy direction of the Fed will remain a key factor affecting the financial markets. Investors and economists are waiting for more clues to predict the possible direction of monetary policy in the coming months.
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It's rare to wait until two o'clock to lie flat and see what the result is.